Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 8.283601 9.245951 10.332775 11.663487 13.266239 15.157387 17.593035
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 6.680610 7.881889 9.361307 11.362159 14.072748 17.739751 23.316426
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 5.860502 7.160539 8.853928 11.305033 14.921322 20.365132 29.914758
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 5.287123 6.628228 8.449965 11.229617 15.625351 22.881623 37.436419
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 4.971899 6.382075 8.374108 11.571949 16.993763 26.863938 49.983017
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 4.522638 5.890035 7.869091 11.150396 16.974591 28.318654 58.161724
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 4.141388 5.455619 7.394909 10.695719 16.782264 29.349572 66.147437
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 3.856962 5.136522 7.059973 10.418402 16.850536 30.953356 77.408462
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 3.660383 4.930954 6.878849 10.374860 17.356843 33.756210 96.261970
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.643008 4.994125 7.129245 11.130837 19.685037 42.294051 156.723033
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.566128 4.956229 7.206360 11.574308 21.461767 50.515979 249.500783
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.413401 4.785098 7.039539 11.516267 22.042391 55.352309 347.892732
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.256948 4.610823 6.875141 11.491561 22.848216 62.270577 564.384297
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.069947 4.376589 6.589412 11.188051 22.887618 66.538052 861.769196
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.936492 4.221654 6.431235 11.131984 23.604719 74.760642 1804.357797
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.813750 4.075947 6.275978 11.058271 24.259255 83.743179 5245.332397
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.752219 4.029790 6.300527 11.392802 26.302461 104.390038 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 2.608649 3.832632 6.021758 10.980839 25.786771 107.542208 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 2.472452 3.641595 5.742223 10.536311 25.058779 108.552478 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 2.365672 3.497028 5.543419 10.265084 24.880146 114.267766 NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 2.291377 3.406023 5.442913 10.222492 25.524946 129.114138 NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 2.301088 3.464724 5.642583 10.961721 29.465925 194.919948 NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 2.277701 3.461865 5.717521 11.395107 32.476712 275.711316 NaN